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Phoenix, AZ: January 2026 Absorption Rates Indicate Balance

Published on Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Jeff Setlow
eXp Realty
Focus areas include Chandler, Gilbert, Gold Canyon, Mesa, Paradise Valley, Phoenix, Queen Creek, San Tan Valley, Scottsdale and Tempe, along with surrounding towns, communities and neighborhoods.
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This January, Phoenix, AZ is a study in equilibrium. With the absorption rate set at a steady 3.1 months, both buyers and sellers find a market that welcomes confident moves without the rush or risk of a one sided trend. Why does a balanced market matter in Phoenix, AZ for January 2026? It allows informed negotiations, realistic pricing, and a noticeably smoother experience on both sides.

Listing activity is robust—15,200 active homes are on the market and new listings for January come in at 5,374. This volume sustains variety for buyers and keeps sellers attentive to presentation and price. Price per square foot, at 287, continues to provide a clear reference point, and the city’s median sale price of $418,000 confirms that value sustains as inventory grows. Balanced absorption in Phoenix, AZ January 2026 truly sets the tone for the season.

Why Absorption Rate Tells the Story

Sellers will want to note that median days on market has moved up to 47, giving more time to showcase each property. For buyers, this means less pressure and the option to view and negotiate without hurry. The 38 percent price reduction mark highlights how much accurate pricing and adaptiveness matter—even with balance, pricing strategically will bring the best results. Those interested in affordable homes in Phoenix, AZ this January 2026 will find more to choose from, especially as supply is healthy and competition is reasoned, not frantic.

From Questions to Keys in Phoenix, AZ

January 2026 market data let Jeff Setlow guide you with current numbers and local insight. Whether pricing to sell or seeking that next property, use expert advice to your advantage.

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Strategic Moves for Sellers and Buyers

Sellers providing credits in 29 percent of sales and multiple opportunities for negotiation keep the market flexible. With a strong median sale price and clear list to sale benchmarks across ZIP codes, buying or selling in January 2026 is as much about timing and communication as it is about the numbers.

Making Smart Decisions in a Balanced Market

Are you asking is it a good time to buy in Phoenix, AZ? In a market with balanced supply and demand, the answer depends on strategy and preparation. Sellers can still move properties in active ZIP codes faster, while buyers access more choice and steady pricing.

How to Sell Your House Fast in Phoenix, AZ

With the absorption rate steady and days on market just under 50, sellers would do well to present competitively priced listings and incentive options. With both sides benefiting from fair negotiation, January 2026 looks bright for Phoenix, AZ real estate.

  • Absorption rate: 3.1 months
  • Active listings: 15,200
  • Median sale price: $418,000
  • Price per square foot: 287
  • Median days on market: 47
  • Seller credits: 29 percent

Looking Ahead in January 2026

Balance brings clarity and advantage. Reach out to Jeff Setlow for guidance on leveraging the January 2026 market in Phoenix, AZ for your benefit.

Jeff Setlow
Written by Jeff Setlow
eXp Realty
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